Showing posts with label Blog. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Blog. Show all posts

Tuesday, 11 April 2017

The Curse of the Lost Title: What Is The Impact of Giving Up The Belt?

In the highly unpredictable environment of MMA, where one shot can end a fight, much is made of the difficulty to get a title shot, with many fighters needing to rack up long win streaks to be in contention. Most recently, UFC featherweight Max Holloway put together an impressive nine fight run before being handed an interim shot at UFC 206, the same as lightweight Tony Ferguson, while the likes of Khabib Nurmagomedov and Donald Cerrone both managed eight straight victories in their respective divisions. Middleweight Yoel Romero is also expected to match the nine straight having been overlooked for a shot at Michael Bisping's title, with the Brit opting to fight the returning Georges St-Pierre.

However, it appears another difficult situation is often overlooked. As a champion, there can be no greater pain than losing your title, and recovering from this setback takes real courage and guts. Nevertheless, this does not always go to plan. Ronda Rousey can attest to this, with her return to the Octagon following the heart-breaking loss to Holly Holm ending in a 48 second TKO defeat to UFC bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes. With the idea of the ex-champion being on a two fight losing streak unthinkable less than 18 months ago, it seemingly follows that the initial defeat had a significant impact on momentum and confidence, leading to the second.


This situation is certainly not an uncommon one among ex-UFC champions. In fact, if we look at the stats, this has happened on 23 occasions, representing 60 per cent of all champions. The list of names is astonishing, including the original heavyweight champion Mark Coleman, Anderson Silva, BJ Penn, Tito Ortiz, Vitor Belfort, Chuck Liddell, Lyoto Machida, Brock Lesnar and Randy Couture - twice! Hardly transitional champions, I think you'll agree!

As you can see, minus flyweight, which has yet to see a former champion, this transcends a wide range of weight classes and time periods, from Rafael dos Anjos at lightweight through to Kevin Randleman at heavyweight, and has made its way into the comparatively fledging women's division, affecting every former bantamweight champion. Sure, there are more heavyweights on this list than any other, but that makes sense given the number of champions in that division versus the rest.



So if there are no trends that can be identified by weight class or time period, is there a reason behind this? The obvious argument to make would be momentum, and how the loss of one fight can very easily lead to declining confidence, resulting in further defeats. However, this is undermined by some additional statistics. The eagle-eyed (or perhaps MMA-nerds) will have noticed that the above list neglects to mention those that did not lose their belts inside the Octagon. The likes of Tim Sylvia, Frank Mir, Dominick Cruz and Jon Jones were either stripped of their titles, or were forced to relinquish due to injury or contractual issues. No momentum loss for them, you may think?

Well actually, revisiting the statistics, we see that of the 10 former champions that were either stripped or relinquished their titles, five went on to lose their following fight. While both of the most recent examples did return with a win, fighters that failed include Couture, Sylvia, Mir and Sherk, meaning that the ratio is not significantly altered whether the belt is lost inside the cage or out.

If not momentum, were these former champions simply outclassed by the same opponent? Again, no. Of the 48 former champions, only three have lost consecutive bouts to the same foe. Belarusian heavyweight Andrei Arlovski suffered a shock KO defeat to Tim Sylvia in April 2006, before losing the rematch by decision three months later, while BJ Penn lost consecutive unanimous decisions to Frankie Edgar in 2010. Most recently, the greatest of all time, Anderson Silva, was famously knocked out by Chris Weidman while clowning in the cage, before suffering a horrendous broken leg in the rematch in 2013. While I'd argue that the latter shouldn't really be counted in the same way as a KO or decision defeat, the loss remains on his record, so requires inclusion.

The answer is unlocked when we look at the statistics from the UFC's greatest rival, Bellator. While comparatively in its infancy, the promotion has had a total of 26 previous champions across its male and female divisions. Surprisingly, nearly a quarter of those have already either been stripped or relinquished the title, meaning that we have a measurable sample size of 20 ex-title holders. Of those, just 35 per cent lost back to back fights, a significant departure from the majority seen in the UFC.

When you look at some of the cards put out by mixed martial arts' secondary organisation, it's easy to see why. Outside of the main and co-main, there is a distinct lack of strength in depth at Bellator, meaning that an ex-champion can ease themselves back into the title picture with a win over a fighter that really isn't in their league. Meanwhile, look at the top 10s of all of the UFC's weight classes. Apart from the heavyweights, it's a murderers row, and there are no easy fights to recover. For example, look at each of the most recent ex-champions' return fights in the UFC, and judge for yourself:

  • Heavyweight - Fabricio Werdum vs Travis Browne
  • Light-heavyweight - Jon Jones vs Ovince Saint-Preux
  • Middleweight - Chris Weidman vs Yoel Romero
  • Welterweight - Johny Hendricks vs Matt Brown
  • Lightweight - Rafael dos Anjos vs Tony Ferguson
  • Featherweight - Jose Aldo vs Frankie Edgar
  • Bantamweight - TJ Dillashaw vs Rafael Assuncao
  • Women's Bantamweight - Miesha Tate vs Raquel Pennington
  • Women's Strawweight - Carla Esparza vs Julianna Lima

With the awareness of MMA growing seemingly by the day, and the number of individuals taking up the sport also on the rise, this is an issue that is only going to become more pronounced as the quality of fighters continues to improve. With this in mind, it will be interesting to see not just the returns of the likes of Eddie Alvarez, scheduled to face Dustin Poirier, Luke Rockhold, Robbie Lawler and Dominick Cruz, but to see how future defeated champions are able to cope as they are thrust back into the hungry lions' den that is mixed martial arts competition.

Wednesday, 11 January 2017

MMA Awards 2017: The Case For...

At the beginning of a new year, it is always good to take a look back at the accomplishments of the months past. 2016 was another outstanding year of growth for the sport of mixed martial arts. Outside of the cage, we saw an unprecedented $4bn deal for the UFC, bringing in new investment and ideas, Bellator strengthen its ranks with a host of free agent signings including Rory Macdonald, Matt Mitrione, Benson Henderson and Chael Sonnen, and the move towards a unionised fighter association get ever closer.

The year wasn't bad for in-cage action either. Having overturned the corrupt ban on the sport in New York, UFC 205 broke practically every record going, from pay-per-view buys to Conor McGregor becoming the first ever fighter to hold two UFC titles simultaneously, while Brock Lesnar sensationally returned at UFC 200.

Hosted on March 2nd, predictably in Las Vegas, the Fighters Only World MMA Awards looks to recognise the greatest of the sport each year. Dubbed the 'MMA Oscars', the 22 awards are designed to cover the entire mixed martial arts eco-system, appreciating everyone that makes the sport what it is today.

As a result, categories range from the predictable 'Fighter of the Year' and 'Breakthough Fighter of the Year', to performance related awards, covering the most spectacular ways of finishing a fight, to journalists, personalities, coaches and gyms associated with the sport.

The shortlists for each have been released, and the public have been asked to vote for their winners at the link below:

http://www.worldmmaawards.com/vote/

I have already taken this opportunity, and over the next few weeks, I'll be posting new content every Friday outlining my case for some of the headline awards.

So take a trip to the website above, vote for your favourite, and let me know your thoughts on mine each week, either in the comments here or @TheWeighInMMA on Twitter.

Monday, 9 January 2017

The Weigh-In: A New Blog for a Rising Sport

For nearly four years, I have been writing the blog It's More Than Just A Game, focused largely around my first sporting love: football. From a young age, I was obsessed with the world's most popular game, able to quote the most ridiculous statistics and focusing on seemingly insignificant topics in great detail.

However, over the last 18 months, I have found myself feeling very similar levels of obsession about a new topic, and a sport that has been on the rise around the world in recent years. Introduced to mixed martial arts by my brother in late 2014, it wasn't until I discovered the fights of Anderson Silva, and especially Brock Lesnar, that I started to get the MMA bug. Having recognised the Beast from my younger days of watching professional wrestling, I was intrigued to see how he did in real competition.

I was, and remain to this day, fascinated at the ability of fighters to sense danger, predict reactions and plan two or three moves in advance, making MMA a more violent version of chess. Similarly, the interplay of vastly differing, but equally valuable, fighting styles is also not just interesting, but impressive when you consider the amount that fighters are forced to adapt when fighting different opponents.

So I decided to take my own style of football writing and analysis, and apply it to my new passion. Following UFC 200, I wrote a blog post entitled 'The Rotten Core of MMA', looking at the failed drug tests of both Brock Lesnar and Jon Jones, and the historical endemic use of performance enhancers in the sport. I'll post the link to this below, but in short, it prompted me to launch this new blog, dedicated to the big MMA stories and analysis of key fights and events.

Over the coming months, I'll be posting some of my favourite MMA moments and fighters, and while my current exposure to the sport will mean I focus initially on the UFC, I plan on posting more and more regularly on other organisations, with Bellator, Rizin, BAMMA and One Championship all on my radar.

So welcome to The Weigh-In, and feel free to share your thoughts with me in the comments or on Twitter @TheWeighInMMA.

UFC 200 blog: http://itsmorethanjustagameblog.blogspot.co.uk/2016/07/ufc-200-rotten-core-of-mma.html